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2024-12-13 11:43:10

On December 12, the market fluctuated all day, and the GEM index led the gains. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.85%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1% and the Growth Enterprise Market Index rose 1.35%.Judging from the changes in the leading plate in the past two days, market speculation is (or has been) fully turned to consumer themes.The national business daily reporter learned that on December 12th, the Notice on Full Implementation of the Personal Pension System (hereinafter referred to as the Notice) jointly issued by five ministries and commissions including the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, the Ministry of Finance, the State Administration of Taxation, the General Administration of Financial Supervision and the China Securities Regulatory Commission showed that the personal pension system will be extended to the whole country on December 15th.


Some people think that the general tone of next year's policy will be "more active and promising" at the Politburo meeting on Monday, so it is expected that more vigorous policies will be introduced at the next Central Economic Work Conference and even at the National People's Congress next year, which will help to better stabilize the expectations of market players, stimulate their vitality and lead China's economy to achieve stronger growth.However, even if you choose the wrong direction temporarily, investors don't have to be too anxious. If the market chooses to break through with the help of the node released by this big news, the probability that the plate will go hand in hand with the plate is expected to be greater than this.Therefore, once there is any trouble in the news, the funds in the venue are willing to take the lead and play a game. The most direct direction is nothing more than those that have been hot for two days: consumption, finance, real estate and so on.


Hua Ge said that with the implementation of consumer policy stimulus measures, the fundamentals of the commercial and retail industry are expected to gradually bottom out. Specifically: (1) Offline retailing: Under the policy of M&A and restructuring, leading enterprises actively explore new growth drivers with the help of endogenous extension tools; (2) Cross-border e-commerce: Overseas consumer demand is still at a relatively high level, the boots for overseas elections have landed, and the performance under the regional diversification of leading targets is resilient.To put it simply, this is a positive for A shares, which belongs to the category of "incremental funds coming".At about 10:50 am, today's disk can be divided into two stages:

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